Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.193585 2.317304 2.450895 2.607139 2.786578 2.988420 3.235956
2025-04-27 2.092626 2.257453 2.444152 2.675074 2.958839 3.304889 3.774512
2025-05-04 1.992561 2.178630 2.396120 2.675703 3.036652 3.505590 4.199881
2025-05-11 1.916854 2.117806 2.358576 2.677966 3.108018 3.699576 4.653517
2025-05-18 1.826892 2.031546 2.280600 2.617756 3.084665 3.753117 4.902532
2025-05-25 1.771501 1.983292 2.245286 2.607771 3.125561 3.901694 5.345858
2025-06-01 1.721043 1.937632 2.209259 2.592134 3.154147 4.032728 5.799713
2025-06-08 1.674182 1.893708 2.172209 2.571070 3.170671 4.144520 6.257671
2025-06-15 1.649083 1.876028 2.168066 2.594754 3.256191 4.387025 7.129751
2025-06-22 1.589288 1.810679 2.096625 2.516612 3.173037 4.311303 7.164343
2025-06-29 1.558598 1.782222 2.073714 2.507517 3.199842 4.445383 7.863286
2025-07-06 1.516533 1.737234 2.026216 2.459106 3.157286 4.437513 8.131011
2025-07-13 1.501606 1.728724 2.029881 2.489424 3.253410 4.736198 9.782746
2025-07-20 1.497899 1.734815 2.053806 2.551821 3.412467 5.216893 13.317109
2025-07-27 1.475430 1.714496 2.039149 2.552654 3.460460 5.457269 16.619103
2025-08-03 1.454832 1.695925 2.026024 2.554769 3.510741 5.720358 22.258941
2025-08-10 1.419048 1.655385 1.979568 2.500323 3.446704 5.659878 23.668245
2025-08-17 1.398155 1.634850 1.961514 2.491281 3.470909 5.856307 33.711709
2025-08-24 1.376967 1.613277 1.941103 2.477109 3.483333 6.024209 55.511368
2025-08-31 1.355506 1.590741 1.918480 2.458001 3.483813 6.157608 142.341497
2025-09-07 1.346160 1.584810 1.920098 2.479484 3.570544 6.609720 NaN
2025-09-14 1.312759 1.544262 1.868832 2.408520 3.454389 6.318006 NaN
2025-09-21 1.297118 1.528502 1.854385 2.400245 3.473150 6.524812 NaN